2020 Election Scenario Explorer

The Economist election model has Biden at %. But what happens if Trump wins Florida? How about if Biden wins Arizona? Which states are most pivotal? By clicking on different states, you can explore how the odds change under different scenarios. Learn how it works and what all the numbers mean.

Election Win Probability Expected Electoral Votes Uncertainty Measures
Dem Rep Tie Dem Rep Entropy Variance
Scenario Probability: 100.00%
Direct Link for This Scenario
State Prob Dem Wins State Prob Rep Wins State Expected Entropy Reduction Expected Variance Reduction Assign

Created by Dan Fernholz and Ric Fernholz.

Contact us at electionscenarioexplorer@gmail.com.

Election simulation data from the Economist election model.

Interactive US map from jquery us-map.

Data Updated: .